Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Nottingham Forest 1.45 - Bournemouth 1.81. Bournemouth is favored with a 18.6% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.3..
Nottingham Forest
1.45
Projected Goals
VS
3.3 total
Bournemouth
1.81
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Nottingham ForestDrawBournemouth
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 85.1% (1,081 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Bournemouth
1.01.82.6
Nottingham Forest
0.71.42.2
Expected Goals (xG)
Nottingham Forest1.44
Bournemouth1.79
16.1Shots19.0
5.8On Target7.1
5.6Corners5.9
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.0%
Over 1.5
85.0%
Over 2.5
51.2%
Over 3.5
50.7%
Under 2.5
48.8%
BTTS
61.6%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
Match Context
EPLMedium
Nottingham Forest
10.05
Draw
1.22
Bournemouth
7.02
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bournemouth 18.6%
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Total
3.3
+131.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →