Brentford vs Liverpool prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Liverpool 1.76 - Brentford 1.42. Liverpool is favored with a 36.0% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.2..
Liverpool
1.76
Projected Goals
VS
3.2 total
Brentford
1.42
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
LiverpoolDrawBrentford
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 69.4% (1,081 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Brentford
0.61.42.2
Liverpool
1.01.82.5
Projected
Liverpool 1.76 — Brentford 1.42
Actual
Liverpool 1 — Brentford 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Liverpool1.76
Brentford1.40
16.9Shots18.3
6.5On Target6.2
5.8Corners6.0
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.5%
Over 1.5
82.3%
Over 2.5
54.7%
Over 3.5
52.5%
Under 2.5
45.3%
BTTS
60.5%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
Match Context
EPLHigh
Liverpool
2.83
Draw
1.91
Brentford
5.77
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Liverpool 36.0%
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Total
3.2
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →