Cremonese vs Udinese prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Udinese 1.94 - Cremonese 1.17. Udinese is favored with a 40.6% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..
Udinese
1.94
Projected Goals
VS
3.1 total
Cremonese
1.17
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
UdineseDrawCremonese
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.9% (1,062 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Cremonese
0.41.21.9
Udinese
1.21.92.7
Projected
Udinese 1.94 — Cremonese 1.17
Actual
Udinese 0 — Cremonese 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Udinese1.93
Cremonese1.12
19.5Shots13.9
7.4On Target4.8
5.8Corners5.4
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.0%
Over 1.5
82.4%
Over 2.5
54.6%
Over 3.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
45.4%
BTTS
50.3%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
Match Context
SERCritical
Udinese
2.54
Draw
3.23
Cremonese
3.08
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Udinese 40.6%
--
Total
3.1
+17.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →