FINAL: FSV Mainz 05 2 — Eintracht Frankfurt 1. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected FSV Mainz 05 1.5 - Eintracht Frankfurt 1.52 (Eintracht Frankfurt at 43.7% win probability). Expected total goals: 3.0..
FSV Mainz 05
1.5
Projected Goals
VS
3.0 total
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.52
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
FSV Mainz 05DrawEintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt L5FSV Mainz 05
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 98.1% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Eintracht Frankfurt
0.71.52.3
FSV Mainz 05
0.71.52.3
Projected
FSV Mainz 05 1.5 — Eintracht Frankfurt 1.52
Actual
FSV Mainz 05 2 — Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Pick Results
UNDER 3.75totalWIN+1.53u
Expected Goals (xG)
FSV Mainz 051.45
Eintracht Frankfurt1.50
14.7Shots15.5
5.6On Target5.7
5.3Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.2%
Over 1.5
81.1%
Over 2.5
52.4%
Over 3.5
19.6%
Under 2.5
47.6%
BTTS
52.9%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.4%
Match Context
BUNMedium
FSV Mainz 05
3.71
Draw
1.84
Eintracht Frankfurt
4.06
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Eintracht Frankfurt 43.7%
--
Total
3.0
+9.2 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →