Espanyol vs CA Osasuna prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects CA Osasuna 2.19 - Espanyol 1.37. CA Osasuna is favored with a 45.0% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.6..
CA Osasuna
2.19
Projected Goals
VS
3.6 total
Espanyol
1.37
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
CA OsasunaDrawEspanyol
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.1% (1,062 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Espanyol
0.61.42.1
CA Osasuna
1.42.23.0
Expected Goals (xG)
CA Osasuna2.16
Espanyol1.33
20.3Shots15.7
8.0On Target5.6
6.1Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
98.0%
Over 1.5
88.0%
Over 2.5
55.5%
Over 3.5
53.4%
Under 2.5
44.5%
BTTS
50.7%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.0%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
Match Context
LALMedium
CA Osasuna
2.23
Draw
2.86
Espanyol
4.35
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
CA Osasuna 45.0%
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Total
3.6
+30.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →