Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction for May 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 15,000 game iterations and projects Crystal Palace 2.07 - Everton 1.27. Crystal Palace is favored with a 61.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.3..
Crystal Palace
2.07
Projected Goals
VS
3.3 total
Everton
1.27
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Crystal PalaceDrawEverton
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 69.1% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Everton
0.51.32.0
Crystal Palace
1.32.12.8
Projected
Crystal Palace 2.07 — Everton 1.27
Actual
Crystal Palace 2 — Everton 2
Expected Goals (xG)
Crystal Palace1.40
Everton0.64
33.5Shots13.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.8%
Over 1.5
85.5%
Over 2.5
51.6%
Over 3.5
43.2%
Under 2.5
48.4%
BTTS
67.1%
Match Context
EPLMedium
Crystal Palace
3.28
Draw
2.44
Everton
2.97
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Crystal Palace 61.2%
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Total
3.3
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 15,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →