Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Tottenham Hotspur 1.61 - Everton 1.31. Tottenham Hotspur is favored with a 49.0% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.9..
Tottenham Hotspur
1.61
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
Everton
1.31
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Tottenham HotspurDrawEverton
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.1% (1,081 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Everton
0.51.32.1
Tottenham Hotspur
0.81.62.4
Projected
Tottenham Hotspur 1.61 — Everton 1.31
Actual
Tottenham Hotspur 1 — Everton 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Tottenham Hotspur1.59
Everton1.29
17.2Shots14.9
6.3On Target5.3
5.6Corners5.3
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.4%
Over 1.5
79.5%
Over 2.5
53.9%
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.1%
BTTS
50.9%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
Match Context
EPLMedium
Tottenham Hotspur
1.93
Draw
3.59
Everton
4.28
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Tottenham Hotspur 49.0%
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Total
2.9
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →