Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Tottenham Hotspur 1.61 - Everton 1.31. Tottenham Hotspur is favored with a 49.0% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.9..
Tottenham Hotspur
1.61
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
Everton
1.31
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Tottenham HotspurDrawEverton
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.9% (1,114 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Everton
0.51.32.1
Tottenham Hotspur
0.81.62.4
Projected
Tottenham Hotspur 1.61 — Everton 1.31
Actual
Tottenham Hotspur 1 — Everton 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Tottenham Hotspur1.59
Everton1.29
17.2Shots14.9
6.3On Target5.3
5.6Corners5.3
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.4%
Over 1.5
79.5%
Over 2.5
53.9%
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.1%
BTTS
50.9%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
Match Context
EPLMedium
Tottenham Hotspur
1.93
Draw
3.59
Everton
4.28
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Tottenham Hotspur 49.0%
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Total
2.9
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →