Soccer

FC Köln U19 vs Hoffenheim U19 Prediction

May 31, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

FC Köln U19 vs Hoffenheim U19 prediction for May 31, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Hoffenheim U19 1.48 - FC Köln U19 1.31. Hoffenheim U19 is favored with a 42.9% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.8..

Hoffenheim U19
1.48
Projected Goals
VS 2.8 total
FC Köln U19
1.31
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
42.9%
23%
34.5%
Hoffenheim U19DrawFC Köln U19
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 66.8% (1,114 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

FC Köln U19
0.51.32.1
Hoffenheim U19
0.71.52.3

Expected Goals (xG)

Hoffenheim U191.48
FC Köln U191.31
18.9Shots16.3
6.8On Target5.8
6.0Corners5.6

Goal Probabilities

Over 0.5
97.4%
Over 1.5
82.7%
Over 2.5
47.8%
Over 3.5
45.1%
Under 2.5
52.2%
BTTS
60.8%

Most Likely Scores

1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.4%

Match Context

BUNMedium
Hoffenheim U19
2.15
Draw
3.75
FC Köln U19
2.62

AI Intelligence Analysis

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AI Intelligence Analysis
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Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Hoffenheim U19 42.9%
--
Total
2.8
+23.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Soccer 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Soccer 2026 season report card.

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