Fulham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.64 - Fulham 1.57. Fulham is favored with a 49.5% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.2..
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1.64
Projected Goals
VS
3.2 total
Fulham
1.57
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawFulham
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 97.9% (1,062 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Fulham
0.81.62.3
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0.91.62.4
Projected
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.64 — Fulham 1.57
Actual
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1 — Fulham 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Wolverhampton Wanderers1.65
Fulham1.56
18.6Shots17.1
6.7On Target6.2
5.8Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.8%
Over 1.5
84.0%
Over 2.5
54.0%
Over 3.5
53.7%
Under 2.5
46.0%
BTTS
50.5%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
0-1
6.5%
Match Context
EPLMedium
Wolverhampton Wanderers
4.37
Draw
3.80
Fulham
1.88
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Fulham 49.5%
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Total
3.2
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →