Getafe vs Elche CF prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Elche CF 1.97 - Getafe 1.44. Elche CF is favored with a 44.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.4..
Elche CF
1.97
Projected Goals
VS
3.4 total
Getafe
1.44
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Elche CFDrawGetafe
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.1% (1,062 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Getafe
0.71.42.2
Elche CF
1.22.02.7
Expected Goals (xG)
Elche CF1.94
Getafe1.42
21.4Shots16.5
7.8On Target5.9
6.3Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.9%
Over 1.5
85.9%
Over 2.5
55.2%
Over 3.5
53.1%
Under 2.5
44.8%
BTTS
52.0%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
Match Context
LALMedium
Elche CF
2.33
Draw
2.97
Getafe
3.80
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Elche CF 44.2%
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Total
3.4
+39.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →