Inter Milan vs Bologna prediction for May 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Bologna 1.49 - Inter Milan 1.48. Bologna is favored with a 54.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.0..
Bologna
1.49
Projected Goals
VS
3.0 total
Inter Milan
1.48
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
BolognaDrawInter Milan
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.6% (1,080 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Inter Milan
0.71.52.3
Bologna
0.71.52.3
Expected Goals (xG)
Bologna1.45
Inter Milan1.44
17.3Shots14.7
6.1On Target5.5
5.9Corners5.5
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.9%
Over 1.5
80.1%
Over 2.5
54.4%
Over 3.5
52.0%
Under 2.5
45.6%
BTTS
57.7%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
Match Context
SERMedium
Bologna
1.67
Draw
3.40
Inter Milan
6.31
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bologna 54.4%
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Total
3.0
+56.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →