Juventus vs Lecce prediction for May 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 15,000 game iterations and projects Lecce 1.4 - Juventus 2.0. Juventus is favored with a 56.0% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.4..
Lecce
1.4
Projected Goals
VS
3.4 total
Juventus
2.0
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
LecceDrawJuventus
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 98.1% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Juventus
1.22.02.8
Lecce
0.61.42.2
Projected
Lecce 1.4 — Juventus 2.0
Actual
Lecce 0 — Juventus 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce0.70
Juventus1.25
14.9Shots27.9
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.8%
Over 1.5
86.0%
Over 2.5
52.6%
Over 3.5
44.3%
Under 2.5
47.4%
BTTS
70.6%
Match Context
SERMedium
Lecce
8.70
Draw
4.63
Juventus
1.43
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Juventus 56.0%
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Total
3.4
+51.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 15,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →