Juventus vs Torino prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Torino 1.15 - Juventus 1.95. Juventus is favored with a 57.5% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..
Torino
1.15
Projected Goals
VS
3.1 total
Juventus
1.95
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
TorinoDrawJuventus
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 81.6% (1,114 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Juventus
1.21.92.7
Torino
0.41.11.9
Projected
Torino 1.15 — Juventus 1.95
Actual
Torino 2 — Juventus 2
Expected Goals (xG)
Torino1.13
Juventus1.91
14.9Shots19.7
5.0On Target7.4
5.5Corners6.0
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.7%
Over 1.5
82.5%
Over 2.5
54.2%
Over 3.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
45.8%
BTTS
51.1%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
Match Context
SERDerbyMedium
Torino
6.68
Draw
4.30
Juventus
1.53
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Juventus 57.5%
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Total
3.1
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →