Le Havre vs Lille prediction for May 3, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Lille 2.02 - Le Havre 1.09. Lille is favored with a 65.5% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..
Lille
2.02
Projected Goals
VS
3.1 total
Le Havre
1.09
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
LilleDrawLe Havre
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 81.0% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Le Havre
0.31.11.9
Lille
1.22.02.8
Expected Goals (xG)
Lille2.00
Le Havre1.08
19.5Shots13.0
7.5On Target4.5
6.0Corners5.3
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.9%
Over 1.5
83.4%
Over 2.5
46.9%
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 2.5
53.1%
BTTS
50.6%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.1%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
Match Context
LIGMedium
Lille
1.65
Draw
3.11
Le Havre
8.47
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Lille 65.5%
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Total
3.1
+42.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →