Leeds United vs West Ham United prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects West Ham United 1.14 - Leeds United 2.1. West Ham United is favored with a 52.8% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.2..
West Ham United
1.14
Projected Goals
VS
3.2 total
Leeds United
2.1
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
West Ham UnitedDrawLeeds United
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.7% (1,081 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Leeds United
1.32.12.9
West Ham United
0.41.11.9
Projected
West Ham United 1.14 — Leeds United 2.1
Actual
West Ham United 3 — Leeds United 0
Expected Goals (xG)
West Ham United1.14
Leeds United2.06
14.2Shots18.0
4.9On Target7.3
5.5Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.2%
Over 1.5
84.6%
Over 2.5
54.9%
Over 3.5
52.6%
Under 2.5
45.1%
BTTS
50.4%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
Match Context
EPLMedium
West Ham United
1.70
Draw
4.27
Leeds United
4.73
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
West Ham United 52.8%
--
Total
3.2
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →