Levante vs Real Betis prediction for May 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Real Betis 1.83 - Levante 1.66. Real Betis is favored with a 41.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.5..
Real Betis
1.83
Projected Goals
VS
3.5 total
Levante
1.66
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Real BetisDrawLevante
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.9% (1,080 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Levante
0.91.72.4
Real Betis
1.11.82.6
Projected
Real Betis 1.83 — Levante 1.66
Actual
Real Betis 2 — Levante 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Betis1.81
Levante1.66
19.3Shots18.5
7.2On Target6.8
5.9Corners6.0
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.5%
Over 1.5
87.0%
Over 2.5
55.3%
Over 3.5
53.2%
Under 2.5
44.7%
BTTS
52.3%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.0%
Match Context
LALMedium
Real Betis
2.42
Draw
3.50
Levante
3.04
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Real Betis 41.4%
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Total
3.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →