Levante vs Real Betis prediction for May 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Real Betis 1.83 - Levante 1.66. Real Betis is favored with a 41.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.5..
Real Betis
1.83
Projected Goals
VS
3.5 total
Levante
1.66
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Real BetisDrawLevante
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 67.0% (1,114 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Levante
0.91.72.4
Real Betis
1.11.82.6
Projected
Real Betis 1.83 — Levante 1.66
Actual
Real Betis 2 — Levante 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Betis1.81
Levante1.66
19.3Shots18.5
7.2On Target6.8
5.9Corners6.0
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.5%
Over 1.5
87.0%
Over 2.5
55.3%
Over 3.5
53.2%
Under 2.5
44.7%
BTTS
52.3%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.0%
Match Context
LALMedium
Real Betis
2.42
Draw
3.50
Levante
3.04
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Real Betis 41.4%
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Total
3.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →