Mallorca vs Levante prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Levante 2.5 - Mallorca 1.23. Levante is favored with a 47.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.7..
Levante
2.5
Projected Goals
VS
3.7 total
Mallorca
1.23
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
LevanteDrawMallorca
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.1% (1,062 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Mallorca
0.51.22.0
Levante
1.72.53.3
Projected
Levante 2.5 — Mallorca 1.23
Actual
Levante 2 — Mallorca 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Levante2.47
Mallorca1.22
25.4Shots14.8
9.7On Target5.2
6.7Corners5.5
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
98.3%
Over 1.5
89.2%
Over 2.5
54.1%
Over 3.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
45.9%
BTTS
50.7%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
Match Context
LALMedium
Levante
2.13
Draw
3.45
Mallorca
3.71
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Levante 47.4%
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Total
3.7
+5.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →