FINAL: Angers 0 — Nice 2. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Angers 1.61 - Nice 1.26 (Nice at 43.1% win probability). Expected total goals: 2.9..
Angers
1.61
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
Nice
1.26
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
AngersDrawNice
NiceAngers L5
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 98.1% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Nice
0.51.32.0
Angers
0.81.62.4
Projected
Angers 1.61 — Nice 1.26
Actual
Angers 0 — Nice 2
Pick Results
OVER 2.25totalLOSS-1.00u
Expected Goals (xG)
Angers1.61
Nice1.25
15.9Shots13.7
6.1On Target5.0
5.4Corners5.3
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.4%
Over 1.5
78.5%
Over 2.5
47.5%
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 2.5
52.5%
BTTS
32.9%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
Match Context
LIGMedium
Angers
4.04
Draw
2.24
Nice
2.74
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Nice 43.1%
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Total
2.9
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →