Parma vs Como prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Como 2.04 - Parma 1.09. Como is favored with a 66.9% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..
Como
2.04
Projected Goals
VS
3.1 total
Parma
1.09
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
ComoDrawParma
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 88.9% (1,062 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Parma
0.31.11.9
Como
1.32.02.8
Projected
Como 2.04 — Parma 1.09
Actual
Como 1 — Parma 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Como2.01
Parma1.06
20.7Shots13.5
7.8On Target4.6
6.2Corners5.4
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.6%
Over 1.5
82.3%
Over 2.5
54.7%
Over 3.5
52.5%
Under 2.5
45.3%
BTTS
50.2%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
Match Context
SERMedium
Como
1.30
Draw
5.64
Parma
10.84
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Como 66.9%
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Total
3.1
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →