Pisa vs Cremonese prediction for May 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 15,000 game iterations and projects Cremonese 1.82 - Pisa 1.63. Cremonese is favored with a 42.1% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.4..
Cremonese
1.82
Projected Goals
VS
3.4 total
Pisa
1.63
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
CremoneseDrawPisa
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.6% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Pisa
0.91.62.4
Cremonese
1.01.82.6
Projected
Cremonese 1.82 — Pisa 1.63
Actual
Cremonese 3 — Pisa 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Cremonese1.11
Pisa0.91
26.1Shots21.1
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.9%
Over 1.5
85.9%
Over 2.5
53.2%
Over 3.5
45.5%
Under 2.5
46.8%
BTTS
73.0%
Match Context
SERMedium
Cremonese
1.83
Draw
3.58
Pisa
4.79
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Cremonese 42.1%
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Total
3.4
+47.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 15,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →