FINAL: Eintracht Frankfurt 1 — RB Leipzig 3. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Eintracht Frankfurt 1.34 - RB Leipzig 1.57 (RB Leipzig at 41.6% win probability). Expected total goals: 2.9..
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.34
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
RB Leipzig
1.57
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawRB Leipzig
RB Leipzig W5Eintracht Frankfurt L5
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 88.9% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
RB Leipzig
0.81.62.3
Eintracht Frankfurt
0.61.32.1
Projected
Eintracht Frankfurt 1.34 — RB Leipzig 1.57
Actual
Eintracht Frankfurt 1 — RB Leipzig 3
Pick Results
UNDER 3.25totalLOSS-1.50u
Expected Goals (xG)
Eintracht Frankfurt1.33
RB Leipzig1.55
14.8Shots16.4
5.3On Target6.0
5.5Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.8%
Over 1.5
79.2%
Over 2.5
55.9%
Over 3.5
32.4%
Under 2.5
44.1%
BTTS
56.4%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
Match Context
BUNMedium
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.96
Draw
3.46
RB Leipzig
2.31
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
RB Leipzig 41.6%
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Total
2.9
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →