FINAL: Getafe 2 — Real Betis 0. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Getafe 1.18 - Real Betis 1.31 (Getafe at 44.2% win probability). Expected total goals: 2.5..
Getafe
1.18
Projected Goals
VS
2.5 total
Real Betis
1.31
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
GetafeDrawReal Betis
Real Betis L4Getafe
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 61.7% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Real Betis
0.51.32.1
Getafe
0.41.22.0
Projected
Getafe 1.18 — Real Betis 1.31
Actual
Getafe 2 — Real Betis 0
Pick Results
OVER 2.0totalPUSH+0.00u
Expected Goals (xG)
Getafe1.19
Real Betis1.30
13.1Shots13.9
4.7On Target5.1
5.2Corners5.4
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
92.5%
Over 1.5
71.6%
Over 2.5
29.9%
Over 3.5
15.3%
Under 2.5
70.1%
BTTS
31.8%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
Match Context
LALMedium
Getafe
1.65
Draw
3.23
Real Betis
6.98
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Getafe 44.2%
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Total
2.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →