Real Betis vs Real Sociedad prediction for May 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 15,000 game iterations and projects Real Sociedad 1.21 - Real Betis 1.35. Real Betis is favored with a 38.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.6..
Real Sociedad
1.21
Projected Goals
VS
2.6 total
Real Betis
1.35
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Real SociedadDrawReal Betis
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 98.1% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Real Betis
0.61.42.1
Real Sociedad
0.41.22.0
Projected
Real Sociedad 1.21 — Real Betis 1.35
Actual
Real Sociedad 2 — Real Betis 2
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Sociedad0.54
Real Betis0.66
15.8Shots17.3
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
92.6%
Over 1.5
73.0%
Over 2.5
47.3%
Over 3.5
25.6%
Under 2.5
52.7%
BTTS
55.5%
Match Context
LALMedium
Real Sociedad
2.75
Draw
3.65
Real Betis
2.57
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Real Betis 38.4%
--
Total
2.6
+20.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 15,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →