Saint Etienne vs Nice prediction for May 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Nice 1.85 - Saint Etienne 1.3. Nice is favored with a 48.7% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.2..
Nice
1.85
Projected Goals
VS 3.2 total
Saint Etienne
1.3
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
NiceDrawSaint Etienne
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.9% (1,114 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Saint Etienne
0.51.32.1
Nice
1.11.92.6
Expected Goals (xG)
Nice1.84
Saint Etienne1.29
18.9Shots15.1
7.2On Target5.4
5.7Corners5.4
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.7%
Over 1.5
82.4%
Over 2.5
58.3%
Over 3.5
38.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
BTTS
58.2%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.7%
2-1
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
Match Context
LIGCritical
Nice
1.99
Draw
3.24
Saint Etienne
4.45
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Nice 48.7%
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Total
3.2
+34.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Soccer 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Soccer 2026 season report card.