Sunderland vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.15 - Sunderland 1.46. Sunderland is favored with a 57.8% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.6..
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1.15
Projected Goals
VS
2.6 total
Sunderland
1.46
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawSunderland
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 98.1% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Sunderland
0.71.52.2
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0.41.11.9
Projected
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.15 — Sunderland 1.46
Actual
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1 — Sunderland 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Wolverhampton Wanderers1.12
Sunderland1.44
12.7Shots14.9
4.5On Target5.6
5.0Corners5.2
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
94.1%
Over 1.5
73.6%
Over 2.5
27.0%
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 2.5
73.0%
BTTS
31.6%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
Match Context
EPLCritical
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3.79
Draw
3.58
Sunderland
2.06
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Sunderland 57.8%
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Total
2.6
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →