Udinese vs Napoli prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Napoli 1.62 - Udinese 1.24. Napoli is favored with a 71.7% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.9..
Napoli
1.62
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
Udinese
1.24
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
NapoliDrawUdinese
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.9% (1,081 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Udinese
0.51.22.0
Napoli
0.81.62.4
Projected
Napoli 1.62 — Udinese 1.24
Actual
Napoli 1 — Udinese 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Napoli1.58
Udinese1.22
15.4Shots14.8
5.9On Target5.2
5.5Corners5.5
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.6%
Over 1.5
78.8%
Over 2.5
53.6%
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.4%
BTTS
50.2%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
Match Context
SERHigh
Napoli
1.19
Draw
6.18
Udinese
23.60
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Napoli 71.7%
--
Total
2.9
+20.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →