Villarreal vs Mallorca prediction for May 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 15,000 game iterations and projects Mallorca 1.25 - Villarreal 2.47. Villarreal is favored with a 68.3% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.7..
Mallorca
1.25
Projected Goals
VS
3.7 total
Villarreal
2.47
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
MallorcaDrawVillarreal
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 98.1% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Villarreal
1.72.53.2
Mallorca
0.51.22.0
Projected
Mallorca 1.25 — Villarreal 2.47
Actual
Mallorca 1 — Villarreal 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Mallorca0.59
Villarreal1.71
12.6Shots37.8
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.9%
Over 1.5
89.3%
Over 2.5
55.4%
Over 3.5
51.1%
Under 2.5
44.6%
BTTS
68.4%
Match Context
LALMedium
Mallorca
3.72
Draw
1.78
Villarreal
4.53
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Villarreal 68.3%
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Total
3.7
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 15,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →