Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Burnley prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Burnley 1.68 - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.49. Burnley is favored with a 20.9% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.2..
Burnley
1.68
Projected Goals
VS
3.2 total
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1.49
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
BurnleyDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 80.5% (1,081 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0.71.52.3
Burnley
0.91.72.5
Projected
Burnley 1.68 — Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.49
Actual
Burnley 1 — Wolverhampton Wanderers 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.66
Wolverhampton Wanderers1.46
16.3Shots16.2
6.2On Target5.9
5.5Corners5.5
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.7%
Over 1.5
83.4%
Over 2.5
51.7%
Over 3.5
51.2%
Under 2.5
48.3%
BTTS
59.8%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
Match Context
EPLMedium
Burnley
6.62
Draw
1.28
Wolverhampton Wanderers
8.17
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Burnley 20.9%
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Total
3.2
+97.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →