Alexandra Eala vs Iva Jović prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Iva Jović 0 - Alexandra Eala 0. Iva Jović is favored with a 55.0% win probability.
Iva Jović
1527
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Alexandra Eala
1452
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Iva JovićAlexandra Eala
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 53.2% (6,716 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Alexandra Eala
Iva Jović
Iva Jović leads by 75 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Alexandra Eala SPW
53.6%
Below tour avg
Iva Jović SPW
53.9%
Below tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Alexandra Eala ML
+225
Model: 45%
Edge: +14.2%
Iva Jović ML
-248
Model: 55%
Edge: -16.2%
Model Projection
Alexandra Eala ML +225 · +14.2% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Iva Jović has a moderate 75-point Elo edge on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Iva Jović has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Iva Jović 55.0%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →