Hubert Hurkacz vs Jaume Munar prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Jaume Munar 0 - Hubert Hurkacz 0. Hubert Hurkacz is favored with a 54.6% win probability.
Jaume Munar
1559
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • ATP
Hubert Hurkacz
1620
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Jaume MunarHubert Hurkacz
Clay
Surface
ATP French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 53.2% (6,716 games)
Match Context
Tournament
ATP French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 5 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Hubert Hurkacz
Jaume Munar
Hubert Hurkacz leads by 61 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Clay: 63.5%
Hubert Hurkacz SPW
62.2%
Below tour avg
Jaume Munar SPW
61.8%
Below tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Hubert Hurkacz ML
-125
Model: 55%
Edge: -0.9%
Jaume Munar ML
+111
Model: 45%
Edge: -2.0%
Key Matchup Factors
- Hubert Hurkacz has a moderate 61-point Elo edge on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Hubert Hurkacz has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hubert Hurkacz 54.6%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →