Jil Teichmann vs Liudmila Samsonova prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Liudmila Samsonova 0 - Jil Teichmann 0. Liudmila Samsonova is favored with a 60.6% win probability.
Liudmila Samsonova
1646
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Jil Teichmann
1508
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Liudmila SamsonovaJil Teichmann
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.1% (6,716 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Jil Teichmann
Liudmila Samsonova
Liudmila Samsonova leads by 138 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Jil Teichmann SPW
55.1%
Below tour avg
Liudmila Samsonova SPW
56.4%
Below tour avg
● Liudmila Samsonova has a slight serve edge (+1.4%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Jil Teichmann ML
+307
Model: 39%
Edge: +14.8%
Liudmila Samsonova ML
-362
Model: 61%
Edge: -17.8%
Model Projection
Jil Teichmann ML +307 · +14.8% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Liudmila Samsonova holds a commanding 138-point Elo advantage on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Liudmila Samsonova has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Liudmila Samsonova 60.6%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →