Jil Teichmann vs Liudmila Samsonova prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Liudmila Samsonova 0 - Jil Teichmann 0. Liudmila Samsonova is favored with a 60.6% win probability.
Liudmila Samsonova
1646
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Jil Teichmann
1508
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Liudmila SamsonovaJil Teichmann
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.5% (3,912 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Jil Teichmann
Liudmila Samsonova
Liudmila Samsonova leads by 138 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Jil Teichmann SPW
55.1%
Below tour avg
Liudmila Samsonova SPW
56.4%
Below tour avg
● Liudmila Samsonova has a slight serve edge (+1.4%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Jil Teichmann ML
+307
Model: 39%
Edge: +14.8%
Liudmila Samsonova ML
-362
Model: 61%
Edge: -17.8%
Model Projection
Jil Teichmann ML +307 · +14.8% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Liudmila Samsonova holds a commanding 138-point Elo advantage on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Liudmila Samsonova has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Liudmila Samsonova 60.6%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →