Austria vs Argentina prediction for June 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Argentina 1.9 - Austria 0.74. Argentina is favored with a 63.8% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.6..
Argentina
1.9
Projected Goals
VS
2.6 total
Austria
0.74
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
ArgentinaDrawAustria
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Austria
018
Argentina
029
Projected
Argentina 1.9 — Austria 0.74
Actual
Argentina 2 — Austria 0
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Argentina 63.8%
--
Total
2.6
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →