Belgium vs New Zealand prediction for June 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects New Zealand 0.7 - Belgium 2.42. Belgium is favored with a 77.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..
New Zealand
0.7
Projected Goals
VS
3.1 total
Belgium
2.42
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
New ZealandDrawBelgium
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Belgium
0210
New Zealand
018
Projected
New Zealand 0.7 — Belgium 2.42
Actual
New Zealand 1 — Belgium 5
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Belgium 77.4%
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Total
3.1
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →