FIFA World Cup 2026

Cape Verde vs Uruguay Prediction

June 21, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Cape Verde vs Uruguay prediction for June 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Uruguay 1.69 - Cape Verde 0.66. Uruguay is favored with a 66.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.3..

Uruguay
1.69
Projected Goals
VS 2.3 total
Cape Verde
0.66
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
66.2%
22%
11.8%
UruguayDrawCape Verde

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Cape Verde
018
Uruguay
029
FINALUruguay 2 — Cape Verde 2
Projected
Uruguay 1.69 — Cape Verde 0.66
Actual
Uruguay 2 — Cape Verde 2

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Uruguay 66.2%
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Total
2.3
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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