Colombia vs Uzbekistan prediction for June 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Uzbekistan 0.74 - Colombia 1.86. Colombia is favored with a 64.1% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.6..
Uzbekistan
0.74
Projected Goals
VS
2.6 total
Colombia
1.86
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
UzbekistanDrawColombia
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Colombia
029
Uzbekistan
018
Projected
Uzbekistan 0.74 — Colombia 1.86
Actual
Uzbekistan 1 — Colombia 3
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Colombia 64.1%
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Total
2.6
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →