FIFA World Cup 2026

Curaçao vs Ecuador Prediction

June 20, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Curaçao vs Ecuador prediction for June 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Ecuador 1.88 - Curaçao 0.42. Ecuador is favored with a 78.7% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.3..

Ecuador
1.88
Projected Goals
VS 2.3 total
Curaçao
0.42
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
78.7%
13%
8.2%
EcuadorDrawCuraçao

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Curaçao
008
Ecuador
029
FINALEcuador 0 — Curaçao 0
Projected
Ecuador 1.88 — Curaçao 0.42
Actual
Ecuador 0 — Curaçao 0

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Ecuador 78.7%
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Total
2.3
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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