DR Congo vs Portugal prediction for June 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Portugal 2.12 - DR Congo 0.8. Portugal is favored with a 71.5% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.9..
Portugal
2.12
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
DR Congo
0.8
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
PortugalDrawDR Congo
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
DR Congo
018
Portugal
029
Projected
Portugal 2.12 — DR Congo 0.8
Actual
Portugal 1 — DR Congo 1
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Portugal 71.5%
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Total
2.9
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →