Who is predicted to win Ecuador vs Ivory Coast on June 14, 2026?

Based on 5,000 WC Ensemble wc2026.2.2 Monte Carlo simulations, Ecuador is favored with a 35.9% win probability. The simulation's mean projected score is Ivory Coast 1.58 - Ecuador 1.69.

What is the projected total for Ecuador vs Ivory Coast?

The model's mean projected total is 3.3. This is the central tendency across 5,000 simulations — Olympus Bets publishes the full distribution (p5–p95) to subscribers.

How does Olympus Bets generate sports predictions?

Every projection is produced by a league-specific Monte Carlo simulation engine (5,000+ iterations per game), Platt-scaled and isotonic-calibrated against historical outcomes, then sized with the Kelly Criterion plus a 15% Bayesian probability shrinkage. The full methodology is documented at https://app.olympus-bets.com/methodology.

Ecuador vs Ivory Coast Prediction & Picks — June 14, 2026

Ecuador vs Ivory Coast prediction for June 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Ivory Coast 1.58 - Ecuador 1.69. Ecuador is favored with a 35.9% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.3..

Ivory Coast

1.58

Projected Goals

VS 3.3 total

Ecuador

1.69

Projected Goals

Match Outcome Probabilities

30.2%

34%

35.9%

Ivory CoastDrawEcuador

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Ecuador

029

Ivory Coast

029

Edge Analysis

Moneyline

Ecuador 35.9%

Total

3.3

How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

Ecuador vs Ivory Coast Prediction

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Edge Analysis

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