World Cup 2026 · Team

Haiti World Cup 2026 Projections

Monte Carlo tournament simulation · 10,000 bracket runs · updated daily

Eliminated — Group Stage

Tournament Outlook

1648
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.2%
Reach final
0.9%
Reach semis
3.2%
Reach quarters

Haiti Match Predictions & Results

DateStageOpponentMatch PredictionResult
2026-06-13First Stagevs ScotlandScotland vs HaitiL 0–1
2026-06-19First Stage@ BrazilHaiti vs BrazilL 0–3
2026-06-24First Stage@ MoroccoHaiti vs MoroccoL 2–4
How these projections are generated: every Haiti fixture is modeled with an Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine, then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated. Tournament hub → · How the Soccer model works → · Full methodology →