World Cup 2026 · Team

Brazil World Cup 2026 Projections

Monte Carlo tournament simulation · 10,000 bracket runs · updated daily

Eliminated — Round of 16

Tournament Outlook

2010
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.0%
Reach final
0.0%
Reach semis
0.0%
Reach quarters

Brazil Match Predictions & Results

DateStageOpponentMatch PredictionResult
2026-06-13First Stagevs MoroccoMorocco vs BrazilD 1–1
2026-06-19First Stagevs HaitiHaiti vs BrazilW 3–0
2026-06-24First Stage@ ScotlandBrazil vs ScotlandW 3–0
2026-06-29Round of 32vs JapanJapan vs BrazilW 2–1
2026-07-05Round of 16vs NorwayNorway vs BrazilL 1–2
How these projections are generated: every Brazil fixture is modeled with an Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine, then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated. Tournament hub → · How the Soccer model works → · Full methodology →