Tournament Outlook
1704
Elo rating
0.1%
Champion
0.4%
Reach final
1.7%
Reach semis
4.8%
Reach quarters
Scotland Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Stage | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | First Stage | @ Haiti | Scotland vs Haiti | W 1–0 |
| 2026-06-19 | First Stage | vs Morocco | Morocco vs Scotland | L 0–1 |
| 2026-06-24 | First Stage | vs Brazil | Brazil vs Scotland | L 0–3 |
How these projections are generated: every Scotland fixture is modeled with an
Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine,
then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and
advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated.
Tournament hub → ·
How the Soccer model works → ·
Full methodology →