Iran vs Egypt prediction for June 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Egypt 1.3 - Iran 1.12. Egypt is favored with a 36.3% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.4..
Egypt
1.3
Projected Goals
VS
2.4 total
Iran
1.12
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
EgyptDrawIran
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Iran
018
Egypt
019
Projected
Egypt 1.3 — Iran 1.12
Actual
Egypt 1 — Iran 1
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Egypt 36.3%
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Total
2.4
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →