Norway vs Iraq prediction for June 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Iraq 0.89 - Norway 2.35. Norway is favored with a 73.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.2..
Iraq
0.89
Projected Goals
VS
3.2 total
Norway
2.35
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
IraqDrawNorway
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Norway
0210
Iraq
018
Projected
Iraq 0.89 — Norway 2.35
Actual
Iraq 1 — Norway 4
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Norway 73.2%
--
Total
3.2
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →