Tournament Outlook
1760
Elo rating
0.2%
Champion
0.8%
Reach final
2.5%
Reach semis
7.4%
Reach quarters
Panama Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Stage | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | First Stage | @ Ghana | Panama vs Ghana | L 0–1 |
| 2026-06-23 | First Stage | vs Croatia | Croatia vs Panama | L 0–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | First Stage | vs England | England vs Panama | L 0–2 |
How these projections are generated: every Panama fixture is modeled with an
Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine,
then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and
advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated.
Tournament hub → ·
How the Soccer model works → ·
Full methodology →