Tournament Outlook
2032
Elo rating
3.5%
Champion
7.3%
Reach final
14.6%
Reach semis
27.9%
Reach quarters
England Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Stage | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | First Stage | vs Croatia | Croatia vs England | W 4–2 |
| 2026-06-23 | First Stage | vs Ghana | Ghana vs England | D 0–0 |
| 2026-06-27 | First Stage | @ Panama | England vs Panama | W 2–0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Round of 32 | vs DR Congo | DR Congo vs England | W 2–1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Round of 16 | @ Mexico | England vs Mexico | W 3–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Quarter-final | @ Norway | England vs Norway | W 2–1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Semi-final | vs Argentina | Argentina vs England | L 1–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Bronze final | @ France | England vs France | Preview → |
How these projections are generated: every England fixture is modeled with an
Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine,
then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and
advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated.
Tournament hub → ·
How the Soccer model works → ·
Full methodology →