Paraguay vs Germany prediction for June 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Germany 2.32 - Paraguay 0.93. Germany is favored with a 71.1% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.3..
Germany
2.32
Projected Goals
VS
3.3 total
Paraguay
0.93
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
GermanyDrawParaguay
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Paraguay
018
Germany
0210
Projected
Germany 2.32 — Paraguay 0.93
Actual
Germany 1 — Paraguay 1
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Germany 71.1%
--
Total
3.3
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →