Qatar vs Canada prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Canada 2.28 - Qatar 0.85. Canada is favored with a 73.6% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..
Canada
2.28
Projected Goals
VS
3.1 total
Qatar
0.85
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
CanadaDrawQatar
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Qatar
018
Canada
0210
Projected
Canada 2.28 — Qatar 0.85
Actual
Canada 6 — Qatar 0
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Canada 73.6%
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Total
3.1
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →