FIFA World Cup 2026

Saudi Arabia vs Cape Verde Prediction

June 26, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Saudi Arabia vs Cape Verde prediction for June 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Cape Verde 1.16 - Saudi Arabia 1.15. Cape Verde is favored with a 35.8% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.3..

Cape Verde
1.16
Projected Goals
VS 2.3 total
Saudi Arabia
1.15
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
35.8%
29%
35.3%
Cape VerdeDrawSaudi Arabia

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Saudi Arabia
018
Cape Verde
018
FINALCape Verde 0 — Saudi Arabia 0
Projected
Cape Verde 1.16 — Saudi Arabia 1.15
Actual
Cape Verde 0 — Saudi Arabia 0

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Cape Verde 35.8%
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Total
2.3
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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