Saudi Arabia vs Spain prediction for June 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Spain 2.32 - Saudi Arabia 0.57. Spain is favored with a 84.0% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.9..
Spain
2.32
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
Saudi Arabia
0.57
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
SpainDrawSaudi Arabia
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Saudi Arabia
018
Spain
0210
Projected
Spain 2.32 — Saudi Arabia 0.57
Actual
Spain 4 — Saudi Arabia 0
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Spain 84.0%
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Total
2.9
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →