Senegal vs Norway prediction for June 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Norway 1.46 - Senegal 1.32. Norway is favored with a 39.5% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.8..
Norway
1.46
Projected Goals
VS
2.8 total
Senegal
1.32
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
NorwayDrawSenegal
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Senegal
019
Norway
019
Projected
Norway 1.46 — Senegal 1.32
Actual
Norway 3 — Senegal 2
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Norway 39.5%
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Total
2.8
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets FIFA World Cup 2026 Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →